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Share Trading in Australia |
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check this page if you want to learn to trade for the medium term |
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scan not updated in this market Trading systems that work in an up market may not work in a down market. This one works in an up market click here to read the joke of the day
This page is for medium term investors This page will update every day now My understanding of medium term trading is holding a stock from a few days to a few weeks. Again I will concentrate on teaching my own way of trading. Doubtless there are numerous different ways traders can and will use to trade these kind of stocks. For medium term trading, I believe you have to look where not many other traders are looking. Let me put this plainly -- you can't achieve anything even remotely close to 30% annual long-term returns by investing in large-cap stocks. Sure, you can beat the market in the long run with that approach (and doing so to beat it by just a couple of percentage points annually would exceptional), but you won't get to 30% annually. I believe your best chance is by going small. Why's that? First, small caps, because of their size, have more upside potential than large caps. But I must warn you, they also have more downside potential, therefore a strict stop loss rule is essential. Second, because the big players (fund managers, etc) are often constrained to only looking at large and mid-cap companies, thus with small cap stocks you can take advantage of pricing inefficiencies. Don’t get me wrong. I have success with my larger-cap stocks, mainly because of dividends and franking credits. But that is an area which I will discuss in my long term trading pages. So what trading plan am I using for this type of trading? At the stage where our market is at the moment, to include all the small caps will give you a lot of selections, a few good winners, but also a lot of trades where you get stopped out. Our market is very volatile, therefore you have to be selective when investing. Watch your risk and money management. Please do not take these examples as financial advice, I am not a financial advisor. read the disclaimer on the right sidebar. You must do your own research. My plan is as follows: I do a daily End of Day scan of all ASX stocks with the following criteria: EMA 20 and EMA 150 bullish cross over and volume spike exceeding 2 times 50 day volume EMA. This is the only scan criteria I use. I plan to buy every stock the next day if it is at least 1 tick above last night’s closing price. If the stock retraces from last night’s closing price, I look at the closing price the next day and again mark it as a buy the next day with one tick above last nights closing price. I buy on every signal until my portfolio is filled, in other words, until I am fully invested. I will give you an example. On Oct 3, SRK came up on my scan, EOD 2.28. Buy next day if higher than 2.285, this did not eventuate. Closed at 2.17. Buy next day (5 Oct) if higher than 2.175. Again did not eventuate, closed at 2.15. Buy next day (8 Oct) if higher than 2.155. Opened at 2.17, buy now. Now I am the proud owner of SRK. As I said above, sound money management is essential, however I don’t think it is wise to open a position with less than $3000, as brokerage will eat into your profits. Please set your stop loss according to your own risk tolerance. Here is the criteria again: EMA 20 and EMA 150 bullish cross over and volume spike exceeding 2 times 50 day volume EMA. I plan to buy every stock the next day if it is at least 1 tick above last night’s closing price. If the stock retraces from last night’s closing price, I look at the closing price the next day and again mark it as a buy the next day with one tick above last nights closing price. I will give you my exit criteria in a few days, however, please watch your money management. Scan results for last few days
Meanwhile I invite you to email me with any questions you may have. This pagewill be updated soon please come back again
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